The situation
Your starting point
You take over a public utility in 2017 with gas, coal, nuclear and wind power. The fleet looks substantial on paper. The question is how much of it will still work when heating demand rises and equipment freezes.
This scenario gives you advance warning of the 2021 freeze so you can try a different response. Spend on preparation, build additional supply, and leave enough money to run the utility through the emergency.
The choices
What will you do?
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Prepare before the forecast turns
Compare winter protection with other uses for your cash. Work that is still on the drawing board cannot help during the freeze.
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Look beyond installed capacity
Watch available supply as the temperature falls. Several sources can struggle at once, just as customers need more electricity.
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Keep service affordable
New equipment has to be paid for. Find a way to strengthen the grid while keeping the public utility's finances and bills in view.
Put your plan to the test
What would you change if you could start preparing four years before the freeze?
Build, watch what happens, and try a different approach. The grid is yours to run.
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Heatwave + Drought
Cooling demand rises just as the water runs low. Hydro produces less, and hot rivers limit nuclear cooling too.
Explore scenario -
Delhi Summer
Every summer needs more cooling. The heat also cuts power plant output, and a late monsoon delays the relief you were counting on.
Explore scenario -
Wildfire Emergency
Most of your spare power comes from somewhere else. In early 2025, wildfire will cut the capacity of your northern connection by 90%.
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